Last updated October 29, 2024
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luke Phelan | 17 | 27 | 70.8% | 1 | 30.1 | 1 |
| 2 | Andrew Moeller | 16 | 27 | 66.7% | 2 | 29.9 | 3 |
| 3 | Andrew Batchelor | 15 | 27 | 62.5% | 4 | 30.0 | 2 |
| 4 | Karl Loiseau | 14 | 29 | 63.6% | 3 | 29.9 | 3 |
| 5 | Matt Hogel | 13 | 28 | 56.5% | 5 | 27.4 | 5 |
| 6 | Dan Ellenberger | 9 | 29 | 40.9% | 6 | 22.8 | 10 |
| 6 | Mike Thorne | 9 | 29 | 40.9% | 6 | 23.2 | 7 |
| 6 | Nick Boucher | 9 | 27 | 37.5% | 10 | 23.1 | 9 |
| 6 | Steve Creaser | 9 | 29 | 40.9% | 6 | 23.2 | 8 |
| 6 | Gavin Gray | 9 | 28 | 39.1% | 9 | 23.3 | 6 |
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 11.0 | DET | 0.38 |
| Houston Texans | 6 | 10.6 | NYJ | 0.43 |
| Denver Broncos | 5 | 8.5 | BAL | 0.21 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 11.8 | MIA | 0.7 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 10.2 | NA | |
| Seattle Seahawks | 4 | 7.9 | LA | 0.45 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Washington Commanders | 6 | 11.0 | NYG | 0.62 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 5 | 10.0 | DAL | 0.59 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 4 | 9.0 | NA | |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 10.9 | DEN | 0.79 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 10.4 | IND | 0.7 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 8.6 | ARI | 0.54 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7 | 13.6 | TB | 0.77 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 8.3 | MIN | 0.3 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 5.5 | CIN | 0.25 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 5 | 11.1 | JAX | 0.75 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 6.3 | BUF | 0.3 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 5.4 | WAS | 0.38 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 8.7 | CHI | 0.46 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 7.9 | SEA | 0.55 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 6.7 | HOU | 0.57 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 6 | 12.3 | GB | 0.62 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 6.0 | PHI | 0.25 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 4.9 | NE | 0.62 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 9.3 | KC | 0.23 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 7.6 | LV | 0.75 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 6.2 | LAC | 0.43 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 9.0 | CLE | 0.57 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 7.7 | ATL | 0.41 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 6.5 | CAR | 0.73 |
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 6 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Houston Texans | 6 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Denver Broncos | 5 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 4 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 6 | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 4 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 5 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Washington Commanders | 6 | 29 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 5 | 4 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 13 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 2 | 15 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 26 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 13 |
| Cleveland Browns | 2 | 19 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 4 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 9 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 4 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 12 | 5 | -3 | 10 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 3 |